Fury v Schwarz: Tyson Out For More Than Just Victory
June 12, 2019
Tyson Fury makes his Las Vegas debut in the early hours of Sunday morning, needing more than just a win as he bids to impress a demanding US boxing audience.
After months of speculation, the rematch with Deontay Wilder failed to materialise. Outside of that, the dream bout would have been an all-British clash with Anthony Joshua, but that was a pipe dream even before the Matchroom man lost his world titles in a shock stoppage defeat to Mexican Andy Ruiz Jr.
So, if not those two potential mega-fights, who will ‘The Furious One’ be facing? Dillian Whyte? Luis Ortiz? Joseph Parker? Even a top five contender like Alexander Povetkin?
Nope, none of the above. Fury will share the ring with the relatively unknown Tom Schwarz.
The 25-year old German might not be a household name, or even a name known in boxing circles, but he does bring to the table an unbeaten record and 16 knockouts from his 24 fights.
A potential banana skin? If AJ’s defeat two weeks ago taught us anything, it is to expect the unexpected in this heavyweight division. However, I don’t believe that Schwarz possesses enough to trouble the lineal champion, and will explain why.
Why Schwarz Won’t Repeat Ruiz Heroics
Hindsight is a wonderful thing, in most walks of life. However, despite the handful of experts who are now coming out and claiming that they fancied a shock, very few people actually predicted Ruiz Jr to hand Joshua his first professional defeat.
Admittedly, I fancied AJ to claim another stoppage victory, but can now accept, in hindsight, that the Mexican was dismissed much too easily.
Ruiz, 29, has one defeat to his name, and even that was a controversial majority decision loss to former WBO king Joseph Parker. Many of those watching that fight had the challenger winning, with his quick hands causing the New Zealander problems all evening.
It was those quick hands that in the end proved too hot for Joshua to handle, and who is to say that Ruiz won’t repeat the result in the inevitable rematch.
Onto this weekend’s fight, and making a case for a similar shock is proving extremely difficult.
Any fighter with an unbeaten record after 24 outings has to be respected. However, when you dig a little deeper, Schwarz can consider himself a little fortunate to be entering this bout with his ‘0’ still intact.
Just last year, he defended his WBO Inter-Continental Heavyweight belt against Senad Gashi. In a bizarre affair, the German found himself behind on the cards with half of the fight gone, but was awarded the victory in the sixth round after Gashi was accused of headbutting his opponent three times.
After referee Frank Maass waved off the bout, Gashi scurried across the ring to try and continue the fight with Schwarz, sparking a mass brawl inside the ring.
Entertaining as it may have been, it detracted from the fact that Schwarz was behind at the time of the disqualification.
To put it into context, Gashi has since lost by knockout to Carlos Takam, and was second best in a drab encounter with Dereck Chisora, a man that Fury has beat convincingly twice already.
Fury is an absolute nightmare for most boxers. At 6”9, his quick feet and dazzling hand speed make him at times look unbeatable, a suggestion that his current record reaffirms.
Schwarz will have to show us something that he hasn’t already showcased in order to win a round, never mind the fight.
Digging For Value In The Odds
The problem, from a betting angle at least, with elite fighters such as Fury, is that the prices in backing them for an outright victory are simply too short.
We have to dig a little deeper and sniff out some value wherever we can.
I really like the 12/5 that Labrokes are offering on the Wilmslow man to win by unanimous decision. The night is all about Fury and, if it goes the distance, the Vegas judges aren’t going to give Schwarz much at all.
Putting the politics of needing Fury to win to one side, even if he fails to claim a knockout victory, he will have too much class on the night and it is hard to see him losing a round.
As previously mentioned, Fury needs to impress in Vegas. Newly signed by entertainment giants ESPN, the view of him being the best heavyweight on the planet is quickly gathering momentum, and he will want to showcase his abilities to the watching American public.
This need to put on a show is possibly why Fury is odds on across the board to win by stoppage (best price 1/2 with Royal Panda).
The notion that the 30-year old isn’t a big puncher doesn’t carry much weight (excuse the pun). In the build up to his defining victorious fight over Wladimir Klitschko back in 2015, Fury had actually stopped eight of his previous nine opponents.
He was clearly after the rounds in his two comeback fights before serving up a fight of the year contender against Wilder in December of last year.
The tune up fights are well and truly in the past, and we may well go back to dismantling his opponents like he did in the build up to that famous night in Dusseldorf.
However, in terms of value, I love the 9/4 on offer for a unanimous points decision for the Gypsy King.
To finish up, how about a tasty looking 50/1 shot? Betfair are offering 50/1 on Fury to win by disqualification.
Of course, it is 50/1 for a reason, but Schwarz did show an erratic side during that ill-tempered clash with Gashi. If, as expected, Fury dominates throughout, he may well become frustrated and look for a way out. A small £1 dabble at those prices could prove interesting.
Enjoy the fight, and let’s hope for a better outcome than we saw in New York two weeks ago.
Here are the bookmakers offering the best boxing betting odds.
Gary has been writing for a variety of well-respected media outlets for over a decade. His work has been published on websites such as The Mirror, Manchester Evening News and the Liverpool Echo. Formerly a reporter with the world’s largest football website in Goal.com, Gary is a boxing fanatic and previously ran his own boxing column for Betfred. He used to own an Everton fansite, but his love affair with his beloved Toffees is close to coming unstuck.